Interview of Mr. Pa-Hsi Ko 柯拔希, chairman of TAMI: “Taiwan’s participation scale broke record in EMO, is confident to receive $ 1 billion orders.”

機械公會理事長柯拔希帶領台灣206家廠商參展,有信心拿到10億美元商機

EMO Hannover, the world’s largest machine tool show, began in Hannover, Germany on the 16th. TAMI chairman Ko Pa-Hsi led a total of 206 Taiwanese precision machinery manufacturers to participate in the exhibition, which ranked the third largest in the world and the largest participating group other than European participating countries. Before the trip, he stressed that if China and the U.S. can reach an agreement for their trade conflicts, it will boost the confidence of global companies to continue investing in machinery and equipment. In addition, Taiwanese manufacturers have developed high-end machine tools such as five-axis machining machines, turning and milling centers for many years. In recent years, the Taiwanese industry has made greater efforts to develop in the field of industry 4.0 such as smart machinery and smart manufacturing. A variety of high-end, customized and intelligent single machines, production lines and entire plant equipment will be on display at this year’s EMO show. We are quite confident that we will get big orders of more than $1 billion. The following is an interview record

Q: EMO has the largest exhibition scale in the world. What is the situation of Taiwanese manufacturers preparing for the exhibition this year? What are your expectations for the exhibition?

A: EMO is an exhibition of machine tools that must be visited by the world’s major precision machinery buyers. This year, a total of 206 Taiwanese manufacturers signed up for the exhibition. With a total exhibition area of 21,052 m2, we are among the best in the world. Major exhibitors include FFG, Victor Taichung, Tongtai, HIWIN, GOODWAY , LITZ, YCM, FEMCO, WELE, Hartford, DAHLIH, CHMER. Among them, FFG’s exhibition scope even includes all the entire pavilions of Hall 14. The Taiwanese exhibitors will exhibit high-end and high-priced models and key components of machine tools, such as intelligent machine tools, fully automated production lines, gantry machines, five-axis machining machines, turning and milling combined machine centers. In order to meet the needs of the European high-end user market, it is estimated that it has the opportunity to obtain a large order of NT$30 billion.

Q: The Taiwan machine tool industry was affected by the China-US trade conflict, which led to a 9.7% decline in export value in the first half of the year. What are your expectations for the performance in the second half of the year?

A: Taiwan’s machinery industry production and export have grown by about 7-10% per year in recent years. In 2018, Taiwan’s machinery export value reached 27.4 billion US dollars, an increase of 7.2%. In 2018, the export value of machine tools in Taiwan reached 3.6 billion US dollars, an increase of 9.5%. However, affected by the China-US trade conflict, Taiwan’s machinery export value in the first half of this year was only 12.8 billion US dollars, down 5.9% from the same period last year. In addition, the export value of machine tools in the first half of the year was 1.3 billion US dollars, a decrease of 9.7%. From these data, it can be seen that the China-US trade conflict is a big crisis and has caused great damage to the Taiwanese machinery industry. As I see it, if China and the U.S. can reach an agreement for their trade conflicts.The stopped investment plan was restarted again, and delayed delivery also resumed. Due to the trade war, the previous investments in China from Taiwan or other foreign countries were also withdrawn and began to return to Taiwan or set up a “second production base” in Vietnam and India. In the next few years, we will strengthen the procurement of Taiwan’s high-end machine tools and intelligent, automated production equipment that are known for their good cost performance. Business opportunities are expected to continue for 5-10 years, resulting in a “shorter-term pain for long-term gain” effect. In this way, it will create a new wave of performance for the Taiwanese machinery and machine tool industry. If the boom of the machine tool can stabilize in the second half of the year, the annual export value will still grow by 5-10%.

Q: Germany is the first country in the world to promote Industry 4.0, and the results are excellent. And this time you bring a large group to participate in EMO, are you prepared to work with them to strengthen the competitiveness of Taiwan’s machine tool industry?

A: German machinery is known for its performance, precision, durability and smart manufacturing technology and capabilities. In order to improve the cooperation between Taiwan and Germany’s machinery industries, we have visited German Trade Office Taipei in this May. Both of us have conducted in-depth exchanges on the application and development of high-end technology. In addition, TAMI will also participate in the “4th Taiwan-German Smart Manufacturing Forum” held on September 13th in Stuttgart, known for its automobile manufacture. The forum was jointly organized by the Ministry of Economic Affairs and the German government. The forum shared the latest business models and business opportunities brought by the latest development trends of smart manufacturing and digitalization of factories through Taiwan and German bilateral industry representatives. This will help Taiwan’s machinery industry to seize the huge business opportunities arising from the manufacturing trends and competition of future factories.

全球最大的歐洲工具機展(EMO 2019)16日起在德國漢諾威盛大開展,臺灣機械公會理事長柯拔希帶領206家台灣精密機械廠商前往參展,名列全球第三大及歐盟以外最大參展團。行前他接受專訪強調,中美貿易戰火有逐漸走向休兵的跡象,將提振全球企業繼續投資採購機器設備的信心,加上台灣廠商多年來研發五軸加工機、車銑複合加工機等高階工具機有成,近年來更全力朝智慧機械、智慧製造等工業4.0領域發展,成果遍地開花,舉凡高端、客製化與智慧化的單機、整線及整廠設備,將在今年EMO展場上精銳盡出,有信心拿到10億美元以上的大訂單。以下是專訪記要:

問:EMO展出規模居世界最大,請問台灣廠商今年籌備參展情況如何?對該展您有何期待?

答:EMO展是全球重要精密機械買主必前往朝聖的工具機大展,今年共有206家台灣廠商報名參展,總展示面積達21,052平方米,在全球各國名列前茅,主要參展廠商包括友嘉集團、台中精機、東台集團、上銀集團、程泰集團、台灣麗馳、永進、遠東、崴立、協鴻、大立、慶鴻等幾乎全員出動,其中友嘉集團甚至包下第14館整座展館,引人注目。參展的台灣業者將展出智慧化工具機、全自動化生產線、大型龍門機、五軸加工機、車銑複合機等高端高價機種及工具機關鍵零組件,來迎合歐洲高端用戶市場的需求,預估有機會拿下新台幣300億元的大訂單。

問:台灣工具機產業受中美貿易戰火波及,上半年出口值衰退9.7%,對下半年您有何展望?

答:台灣機械業生產與外銷近幾年來都以每年約7-10%的幅度在成長,2018年台灣機械出口值達274億美元,增幅7.2%;2018工具機出口值達36.55億美元,增幅9.5%。但受到中美貿易戰衝擊,今年上半年台灣機械出口值僅128.16億元,較去年同期衰退5.9%;另外,工具機上半年出口值為13.18億美元,減幅達9.7%,凡此都可看出中美貿易戰是場很大的危機,對台灣機械業造成很大的傷害,所幸中美貿易爭端近來已有趨向緩和的的跡象,廠商原先中斷的投資計畫重新啟動,延遲的交貨也開始恢復,加上原先在大陸投資的台商、外資與陸資,為避免被中美貿易戰的流彈波及,也開始返回台灣或前往越南、印度建立「第二生產基地」,未來數年勢會加強採購以高性價比聞名的台灣高階工具機與智慧化、自動化生產設備,商機有望延續5-10年,形成「短空長多」效應,將為台灣機械及工具機產業創造出一波新的榮景,如果下半年工具機景氣能及時回溫,全年出口值仍有機會成長5-10%。

問:德國為全世界最早推動工業4.0智慧製造的國家,成效卓著,您帶團參加本屆EMO展,有準備與對方進行更深度的合作,來提升台灣工具機產業的競爭力?

答:德國機械設備性能、精密度、耐用度與智慧製造技術與能力,一向執世界之牛耳,為促成台、德機械業的擴大合作,今年5月我已帶領TAMI重要成員拜訪德國駐台灣經濟文化辦事處,雙方針對高端技術的應用與發展進行了深度交流。另外,TAMI也參加了9月13日於德國汽車製造重鎮-斯圖加特舉辦的「第四屆臺德智慧製造論壇」,該場論壇由經濟部及德國政府共同舉辦,會中透過台、德雙邊產業代表分享了智慧製造最新發展趨勢、工廠數位化等所帶來的新型商業模式與商機,可協助台灣機械業及早因應未來工廠的製造趨勢與搶攻衍生的龐大商機,收穫頗豐。

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